Research Findings and Articles
- Pathways to and From Violent Extremism: The Case for Science-Based Field Research - Scott Atran Statement Before the Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Emerging Threats & Capabilities - March 10, 2010
- To Beat Al Qaeda, Look to the East Scott Atran - New York Times, December 12, 2009
- Sex Trafficking a Scourge Richard Davis - Arizona Republic, December 5, 2009
- Emerging Sacred Values: Iran’s nuclear Program Morteza Dehghani - Judgment and Decision Making, December 2009
- Theoretical Frames on Pathways to Violent Radicalization ARTIS Research Publication - August, 2009
- Obama Must Shift Focus Off Guantánamo Christian Science Monitor - Juan Zarate, October 21, 2009
- Testimony to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee - Marc Sageman October 7, 2009
- How To Hasten Al Qaeda's Demise CBS NEWS, July 28, 2009
- Dialogue-First Diplomacy Not Working CBS NEWS, July 8, 2009
- What Obama should tell Muslims BOSTON GLOBE, May, 2009
- Reflections on the Evolution of the Global Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Regime since 9/11 CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, April, 2009
- Unleash the Financial Furies Against North Korea LOS ANGELES TIMES, April, 2009
- How Words Could End a War, NEW YORK TIMES, JANUARY 25, 2009
- Religion and Support for Suicide Attacks, PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE, 2009
- Who Becomes A Terrorist Today?, PERSPECTIVES ON TERRORISM, January 2009
- Humiliation and the Inertia Effect, JOURNAL OF COGNITION AND CULTURE, 2008
- Talking of Talks, INDIA AND GLOBAL AFFAIRS, December 2008
- Risk perception and communication, ENVIRONMENTAL AND OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH SCIENCES, September 2008
- The Impact Of Over-the-Counter Availability Of ‘‘Plan B’’ On Teens’ Contraceptive Decision Making, SOCIAL SCIENCE AND MEDICINE, June 2008
- Mutually Assured Support, ANNALS (AAPSS), July 2008
- Reframing Sacred Values, NEGOTIATION JOURNAL, July 2008
- Radical Madrasas in Southeast Asia, CTC Sentinel, February 2008
- Assessing Adolescent Decision-Making Competence, DEVELOPMENTAL REVIEW, January 2008
- Counting Casualties, JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY, 2007
- Sacred Barriers To Conflict Resolution, SCIENCE VOL 317, AUGUST 2007
- The Individual, the Group and The Psychology of Terrorism, INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF PHYCHIATRY, June 2007
- Deterring the Terrorist, TERRORISM AND POLITICAL VIOLENCE, Spring 2007
- Individuals’ Decisions Affecting Radiation Exposure After A Nuclear Explosion, HEALTH PHYSICS, May 2007
- Sacred Bounds On Rational Resolution of Violent Political Conflict, PNAS, April 2007
- Scientific Review of the Proposed Risk Assessment Bulletin, THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS, February 2007
- Connecting The Dots, BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS, July 2006
- The Moral Logic and Growth of Suicide Terrorism, THE WASHINGTON QUARTERLY, Spring 2006
- Analyzing Disaster Risks and Plans, SPRINGER SCIENCE, 2006
- Sacred Values, BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS, 2006
- Balancing Acts, BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS, December 2006
- A Failure of Imagination, STUDIES IN CONFLICT TERRORISM, 2006
- To Jihad and Back, CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE, November 2005
- The Cultural Mind: Environmental Decision Making and Cultural Modeling Within and Across Populations, PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, October 2005
- Small Groups Find Fatal Purpose Through the Web, NATURE, September 2005
- Beyond Reactive Devaluation, Jeremy Ginges, February 2005
- Religion’s Evolutionary Landscape: Counterintuition, Commitment, Compassion, Communion, BEHAVIORAL AND BRAIN SCIENCES, 2004
- Genesis of Suicide Terrorism , SCIENCE VOL 299, MARCH 2003
- Social Representations of Multiculturalism, JOURNAL OF APPLIED SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2000
- Stones Against the Iron Fist, Terror Within the Nation, POLITICS AND SOCIETY, 1990
- The Surrogate Colonization of Palestine, Scott Atran
- Non-Instrumental Reasoning Over Sacred Values, Jeremy Ginges and Scott Atran
Interviews
- Scott Atran: Reacting to Terror - The Agenda With Steve Paikin
- Suspect Contacted Top Al-Qaida Leader – Zarate – 14 October 2009
- Biggest Terror Case Since 9/11? – Zarate – 24 September 2009
- FBI Not Showing Cards in Alleged Terrorism Plot – Zarate – 24 September 2009
- Afghan Strategy Review, What are the Options? – Sageman – 22 September 2009
- How Did An American Crack Al-Qaida’s Inner Circle? – Zarate – 29 July 2009
In Focus
Scott Atran, Director of Research, testified before the Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Emerging Threats & Capabilities. Read his testimony here: Atran Testimony
Morteza Dehghani joins ARTIS as a Young Investigator. Morteza's research interests include cross cultural differences in moral decision making, analogical and case-based reasoning, belief revision and counterfactual reasoning.
Nicole Argo joins ARTIS as a Young Investigator. Nicole has been a field researcher examining motivations for political violence in the Middle East and Africa.
Director of Research, Marc Sageman, Testifies before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Afghanistan. Read his testimony here: Sageman Testimony
Robert Axelrod leads new research into Case-Based Influence. Review of historical cases likely to provide insight into future decision making.
Kevin Corke, Former White House Correspondent for NBC joins ARTIS as a Policy Fellow.
Daniel Ostergaard, Former Senior Advisor to Michael Chertoff and Tom Ridge joins ARTIS as a Policy Fellow.
The Honorable Juan Zarate, Former Deputy Assistant to the President and Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, has joined ARTIS as a Policy Fellow.
Professor Scott Decker has joined ARTIS as a Senior Fellow for Research. Professor Decker's research interests include the organizational structure of offending groups, the role of ideology and religion in offending groups and international drug smuggling.
Scott Atran and Jeremy Ginges recently contributed to an article that appeared in Newsweek in anticipation of President Obama's speach in the Middle East. Read the article here.
Senior Fellow, Dick Nisbett, receives high reviews from the New York Times for his new book entitled, "Intelligence And How To Get It". Read the review here.
Scott Atran and Jeremy Ginges recently collaborated on an Op-Ed contribution for the New York Times addressing "How Words Could End A War" Read the article here.
Robert Axelrod has been appointed by the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress to serve on a special task force to complete a Comprehensive Net Assessment of Unsustainable Policies for President Obama.
“Respect for Sacred Values is Key to Conflict Resolution” - the title of a January 2009 article published by the National Science Foundation on research conducted by Scott Atran. See article here.
In 2008, ARTIS worked with a record number of partners, including the governments of the United States, United Kingdom, Turkey, and Morocco, John Jay College of Criminal Justice, the New School of Social Research, RTI International, and the World Federation of Scientists.
The NYPD names Marc Sageman as first ever Scholar-in-Residence. Click here to see the entire article.
The National Science Foundation testified before the House Armed Services Committee on April 24,
2008 that Scott Atran was a leading researcher for the NSF’s Intercultural Competence Research Program.
Click here to see the testimony.
Richard Davis appointed to the
World Energy Council’s Biofuels Task Force.
Lord John Alderdice appointed as
the Co-Chairman of the World Federation of Scientists Permanent Monitoring Panel on Terrorism.
Books Published By The ARTIS Community
Click on the links below to purchase.
In Gods We Trust - Scott Atran
This ambitious, interdisciplinary book seeks to explain the origins of religion using our knowledge of the evolution of cognition. A cognitive anthropologist and psychologist, Scott Atran argues that religion is a by-product of human evolution just as the cognitive intervention, cultural selection, and historical survival of religion is an accommodation of certain existential and moral elements that have evolved in the human condition.
"Atran's work is a brilliant exposition of the evolutionary by-product interpretation [of religion] as well as a mine of references for empirical research into the psychology of religion."--Pascal Boyer, Current Anthropology
Forging Democracy: A Comparative Study of the Effects of U.S. Foreign Policy on Central American Democratization - Juan Carlos Zarate
Regional hegemons can and do determine the political evolutions of countries within their respective spheres of influence. This study propounds and tests this new theory by examining the influence of U.S. foreign policy on Central America regime formation in the late 1940s and 1980s. By dissecting and comparing the modern histories of Costa Rica, Guatemala, and Nicaragua, this book provides a fresh analysis of these countries' histories and of U.S. influence in their political development. theory provides a framework within which to study the effects of other hegemons' policies on their respective spheres of influence (i.e. the French in Africa). This seminal work extends the understanding of past events, present debates, and possible future ramifications of U.S. foreign policies.
The Native Mind and the Cultural Construction of Nature - Scott Atran and Douglas Medin
"The Native Mind and the Cultural Construction of Nature beautifully illustrates Atran and Medin's findings in the realm of folkbiology. They present a series of brilliantly conceived and executed studies whose importance goes far beyond being invaluable science to having real implications for social policy, especially in areas concerned with the environmental issues. This book is essential reading for psychologists, who all too often look at problems from the lens of just one culture, for anthropologists, who all too often neglect evolved universals of thought, and for anyone else interested in the relations among culture, thought, and human values."
--Frank Keil, Department of Psychology, Yale University
The Evolution of Cooperation - Robert Axelrod
The Evolution of Cooperation addresses a simple yet age-old question: If living things evolve through competition, how can cooperation ever emerge? In 1979 Robert Axelrod famously ran a computer tournament featuring a standard game-theory exercise called The Prisoner's Dilemma. The program that won the tournament, named Tit for Tat, was not only the simplest but the most "cooperative" entrant. This unexpected victory proved that cooperation is mathematically possible and therefore needs no hidden hand or divine agent to create and sustain it. A roadblock to the understanding of all sorts of behavior was removed. The updated edition includes an extensive new chapter on cooperation in cancer cells and among terrorist organizations.
"This book, if read, grasped and applied, could have a profound effect." (Wall Street Journal)
The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration - Robert Axelrod
"Robert Axelrod's extraordinary book, The Evolution of Cooperation was globally acclaimed for the rich results of its simple model. The Complexity of Cooperation now gathers together the myriad fruits of more than a decade's work, carefully 'complexifying' his initial model. Like his ideas, his prose is clear and engaging. His delight as he unveils each surprising discovery is infectious. This book is not merely important; it's fun." -- Robert D. Putnam, author of Making Democracy Work
Harnessing Complexity: Organizational Implications of a Scientific Frontier - Robert Axelrod and Michael D Cohen
HARNESSING COMPLEXITY is a breakthrough book on complexity science. It provides the first useful framework and vocabulary for evaluating complex adaptive systems, while giving you the first guidelines for considering how to use the circumstances of your complex adaptive system to your organization's advantage.
Lessons from the Inside: Drug Smugglers on Drug Smuggling - Scott H. Decker and Margaret Chapman Townsend
"This book is the most comprehensive study of drug smuggling and drug smugglers I have seen. The details and descriptions of the smugglers’ activities are rich and extensive. Decker and Chapman delve deeply into interdiction efforts and the methods and strategies used by drug smugglers to counter the government’s efforts. In particular, the study views the government’s efforts at deterrence from the perspective of the smugglers themselves, offering a unique approach to the issue." —Paul Cromwell, Wichita State University
Strategies to Address Gang Crime: A Guidebook for Local Law Enforcement - Scott H. Decker
Author Scott H. Decker, PhD provides information about developing and enhancing local law enforcement responses to gangs in their jurisdictions. The focus of the guidebook is on the use of problem-solving strategies to help agencies select the interventions most appropriate for their jurisdictions. In particular, the guidebook describes the SARA model (Scanning, Analysis, Response and Assessment), a strategic problem-solving process with which local law enforcement is familiar and can apply to its local gang problem. This is the must-have resource to help law enforcement understanding the factors that contribute to their gang problem and select appropriate responses.
The International Handbook of Juvenile Justice - Scott H. Decker
This comprehensive reference work presents inside information on the Juvenile Justice-systems in 19 different countries, both in EU-member states (old and new ones) as well as in the United States and Canada. The book is the result of research conducted by a group of outstanding researchers working in the field of Juvenile Justice, who are concerned about some of the trends in Juvenile Justice in the last two decades, where the border between criminal justice and Juvenile Justice tends to fade.
European Street Gangs and Troublesome Youth Groups - Scott H. Decker
This unique volume by eminent gang researchers presents valuable new data on European youth gangs, describing important characteristics of these groups, and their similarities and differences to American gangs. Their findings from the Eurogang Research Program highlight the impact of immigration and ethnicity, urbanization, national influences, and local neighborhood circumstances on gang development in several European countries. It is an important resource on crime, delinquency and youth development for criminologists, sociologists, youth workers, policy makers, local governments, and law enforcement professionals.
Acceptable Risk - Baruch Fischhoff
This is a brilliant and stimulating book. Although it nominally concerns itself with the area of hazard management, policy and technology choices associated with loss of life or limb, it provides a great deal of insight into all forms of risk management and formal decision making.
A very well-researched book, it is obvious that the authors have not only thought long and hard about the subject matter, but have also applied a very disciplined analysis to it. Although the authors are scholars, the book is not necessarily aimed at an academic audience. While challenging, it is still approachable by the lay person.
Adolescent Risk and Vulnerability: Concepts and Measurement - Baruch Fischhoff
The Board on Children, Youth, and Families was created in 1993. Its Committee on Adolescent Health and Development studies issues facing young people and their families using analytic tools from the behavioral, social, and health sciences. Four papers from the Committee's March 2001 workshop, held in Washington, D.C., examine the beliefs underlying adolescents' decisions, present a framework for understanding the vulnerability of adolescents to undesirable outcomes, offer a model for estimating the economic payoffs for different types of policy actions designed to offset adolescent health risks, and discuss adolescents' concerns about their futures and well- being.
Elicitation of Preferences - Baruch Fischhoff
Economists and psychologists have, on the whole, exhibited sharply different perspectives on the elicitation of preferences. Economists, who have made preference the central primitive in their thinking about human behavior, have for the most part rejected elicitation and have instead sought to infer preferences from observations of choice behavior. Psychologists, who have tended to think of preference as a context-determined subjective construct, have embraced elicitation as their dominant approach to measurement. This volume, based on a symposium organized by Daniel McFadden at the University of California at Berkeley, provides a provocative and constructive engagement between economists and psychologists on the elicitation of preferences.
On Terrorism and Combating Terrorism - Ariel Merari
The 1979 International Seminar on Political Terrorism brought together
top academic experts on the subject of terrorism and key public officials
from several countries who are involved in combating it. This book contains
lectures and discussions that took place during that conference, held in
Tel-Aviv. Publication has been delayed for several reasons, in themselves
unimportant. Yet, it is astonishing to realize that the material in this book
remains so highly relevant several years after it was written. The very
same questions which occupied the participants' attention then remain at
the center of public interest and decision makers' concerns today.
Leaderless Jihad - Marc Sageman
In Leaderless Jihad, Sageman rejects the views that place responsibility for terrorism on society or a flawed, predisposed individual. Instead, he argues, the individual, outside influence, and group dynamics come together in a four-step process through which Muslim youth become radicalized.
Leaderless Jihad offers a ray of hope. Drawing on historical analogies, Sageman argues that the zeal of jihadism is self-terminating; eventually its followers will turn away from violence as a means of expressing their discontent. The book concludes with Sageman's recommendations for the application of his research to counterterrorism law enforcement efforts.
Understanding Terror Networks - Marc Sageman
Understanding Terror Networks combines Sageman's scrutiny of sources, personal acquaintance with Islamic fundamentalists, deep appreciation of history, and effective application of network theory, modeling, and forensic psychology. Sageman's unique research allows him to go beyond available academic studies, which are light on facts, and journalistic narratives, which are devoid of theory. The result is a profound contribution to our understanding of the perpetrators of 9/11 that has practical implications for the war on terror.
"One of the most original and innovative social science studies ever conducted on how individuals are driven to join terrorist organizations."
- ForeWord Magazine
Unmasking Terror: A Global Review of Terrorist Activities - Marc Sageman
Unmasking Terror is a critical tool that helps today's domestic and international thought leaders better understand and address current trends in terrorism. -- --The Honorable Tom Ridge, First Secretary of Department of Homeland Security
The Unmasking Terror series provides unique and insightful analysis, and continues to prove extremely useful as we work all the elements of national power to counter terrorism. -- --General Joseph Ralston (Ret.), Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) and the former Vice-Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff








